Exit polls: BJP is coming to Assam, what is known about Kerala-Tamil Nadu
- UDF Comes back in Kerala
- High Drama in Tamil Nadu
The Congress-UDF alliance looks set to win the 140-seat Kerala Assembly, beating the LDF. Collected photo.
Major polling agencies have released their exit poll results following the conclusion of the assembly elections in Assam, Kerala, and Tamil Nadu.
The projections suggest a likely return for the BJP in Assam and a potential shift in power in Kerala toward the Congress-led UDF. However, Tamil Nadu remains the most discussed battleground as actor Vijay’s newly formed party, TVK, appears to be putting up a fierce fight against the ruling DMK.
Assam: BJP Poised for a Hat-trick
Across the board, pollsters predict a dominant victory for the BJP alliance in the 126-seat Assam Assembly. Here are what the exit poll companies predict:
Axis My India: BJP+ (88-100 seats), Congress+ (24-36 seats).
People’s Pulse: BJP+ (83-91 seats), Congress+ (22-26 seats).
P-MARQ & Matrize: Both predict a comfortable lead for the BJP, with seats ranging between 82 and 94, while Congress is expected to stay below 40.
Kerala: UDF Set to Topple LDF
In Kerala's 140-seat assembly, the Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF) is projected to unseat the ruling Left Democratic Front (LDF), bringing back the state's traditional trend of alternating governments.
Axis My India: UDF (78-90 seats), LDF (49-62 seats).
People’s Pulse: UDF (75-85 seats), LDF (55-65 seats).
P-MARQ & Matrize: Both give the UDF a decisive edge with 70-79 seats, while the LDF is projected at 60-69.
The BJP-led NDA is expected to make minimal gains, potentially securing 3 to 5 seats.
Tamil Nadu: DMK Ahead, but TVK Emerges as a Major Spoiler
The most surprising projections come from Tamil Nadu’s 234-seat assembly. While most agencies favor the ruling DMK alliance, one major pollster suggests a massive upset by actor-turned-politician Vijay’s TVK.
The Surprise Factor (Axis My India): In a stunning prediction, this agency places TVK at the top with 98-120 seats, while the DMK+ follows closely with 92-110 seats.
Mainstream Consensus: Three other major agencies—People’s Pulse (125-145), P-MARQ (125-145), and Matrize (122-132)—predict an absolute majority for the DMK alliance. These polls suggest TVK will be limited to 10–26 seats.
AIADMK: The AIADMK-led alliance is expected to recover slightly, with projections placing them around the 100 seat mark at the maximum.
(Source: The Times of India)