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আগামীর সময় Bangladesh

NCP in turmoil: Is the dream of a new political order fading?

  • Alliance with Jamaat and Lack of Transparency in Decision-Making
  • Departure from the Spirit of the Uprising and Tensions Over Women’s Leadership
Rakib Hasan
agamir somoy
Published: 06 November 2026, 16:03
শেয়ার করুন:
NCP in turmoil: Is the dream of a new political order fading?

Is the NCP really falling apart? Or is it facing the growing pains of a new political party? File Photo

Is the National Citizen Party (NCP) really heading toward a split? Or is it facing the challenges that naturally arise during the development of a new political party? Recent developments within the party have brought these questions back into focus. A series of resignations, leadership disagreements, unease over its alliance with Jamaat-e-Islami, and organizational weaknesses have placed the party in a difficult position.

The resignation of NCP Joint Convener Samanta Sharmin on November 5 has particularly reignited the debate. She is not just another party leader but also a familiar face from the NCP’s founding period. Her departure has brought longstanding internal disagreements back into the spotlight.

However, the key question remains: Is the NCP really falling apart, or is this a normal phase in the development of a new political party? To understand the situation, it is necessary to examine the reasons behind the resignations, the leadership’s position, the political equation, and the party’s future prospects.

How the resignations began

The NCP was launched in February 2025. A section of young people who had played leading roles in the July 2024 mass uprising formed the party. Their promise was to establish a new political order beyond the conventional political culture.

Initially, the party attracted interest from young people as well as individuals from different professional and social backgrounds. However, it failed to sustain that interest for long.

In late December 2025, the NCP decided to join an electoral alliance or understanding led by Jamaat-e-Islami. The decision triggered major disagreements within the party. On January 3, 2026, The Daily Star reported that at least 18 senior and second-tier leaders had resigned from their party positions or withdrawn from electoral activities within 11 days. This was the NCP’s first major organizational setback. Since then, at least 43 leaders from the party’s central, district, and metropolitan units have resigned.

Former NCP leader Tasnim Jara on the same stage with NCP leaders. Photo: Collected

Why have leaders resigned?

An analysis of the statements made by those who resigned reveals several clear reasons. The first is the electoral alliance with Jamaat-e-Islami. Many NCP leaders believed that the new political force emerging from the July mass uprising had fundamental ideological and political differences with Jamaat.

NCP splitparty resignationsinternal democracyleadership crisisideological divisionorganizational weaknessSamanta Sharminpolitical futurenew political party
    আগামীর সময় ইপেপার
    শেয়ার করুন:

    Their question was: Why did a party that promised a new political order outside the existing political system eventually return to conventional alliance politics?

    Tasnim Jara, Tajnuva  Jabeen, Mir Arshadul Haque, Arif Sohel, Azad Khan Bhashani, and several other leaders opposed the decision. Some resigned while others decided to contest the election independently.

    From the beginning, however, the NCP leadership described the alliance with Jamaat as an electoral understanding rather than a political merger. This explanation failed to resolve the internal disagreements completely.

    NCP Convener Nahid Islam described the alliance decision as one made based on the majority’s opinion. He said that differences of opinion were normal in a political party and that efforts would be made to convince those who disagreed through discussions.

    The party’s spokesperson, Asif Mahmud Shojib Bhuyain, also said that several leaders had left the party because of the alliance decision. However, he added that the party’s doors remained open to them.

    Another reason that subsequently emerged was the lack of transparency in decision-making. Resigning leaders alleged that the opinions of all members were not properly considered when important decisions were made.

    Before the alliance with Jamaat, 30 central leaders had also submitted a memorandum to Convener Nahid Islam expressing their objections. However, the NCP’s top leadership remained firm on joining the Jamaat-led alliance. This raised questions about democratic practices within the party.

    Another major issue was the perceived departure from the spirit of the July mass uprising. Many former party leaders believe that the NCP was not established merely to become an electoral party. It was founded on expectations of state reforms, the elimination of discrimination, and changes to the political system. They allege that these objectives have gradually taken a back seat as winning seats in elections and power calculations have become more important. Statements made by former leaders in various media reports following their resignations largely reflect this position.

    Another issue has been raised by recently resigned leader Samanta Sharmin. It concerns the lack of adequate opportunities for women in leadership positions. Samanta alleged that although women played an important role in the July mass uprising, their proper representation in the party’s leadership and decision-making processes had not been ensured.

    She also alleged that the central committee had been reconstituted without holding regular party councils. According to her, this weakened internal democracy.

    The party’s ideological identity has also remained unclear. Initially, the NCP presented itself as a centrist, inclusive, and reform-oriented political force. However, its alliance with Jamaat raised questions about its political position. Many believe that the alliance has weakened the party’s independent identity.

    Samanta Sharmin alongside Nahid and Akhtar at an NCP party programme. Photo: Collected

    Why is Samanta Sharmin’s resignation significant?

    Samanta Sharmin’s resignation cannot be viewed as just another departure. After resigning, she said that she had spent nearly a year trying to change the party’s political position. She opposed the alliance with Jamaat and proposed alternative political strategies.

    She also raised questions about women’s participation in leadership and internal democracy. According to her statements, however, the top leaders showed little interest in changing their positions on these issues.

    There is another important aspect to the development. On October 23, Samanta was demoted from Senior Joint Convener to Joint Convener in the reconstituted central committee. She was also excluded from the 16-member Political Council. She left the party on November 5. This means that her resignation was driven not only by opposition to the Jamaat alliance but also by dissatisfaction with the leadership structure and her position within the party.

    Her resignation sparked fresh discussions in political circles. The issue has drawn reactions not only from within the NCP but also from prominent political figures outside the party.

    On the night of November 5, former NCP leader Dr. Tasnim Jara published a post on Facebook praising Samanta Sharmin’s political activities and personality. Tasnim Jara wrote, “There is no shortage of people who speak in politics. But there are very few who listen attentively to ordinary people. Samanta is one of them.”

    She further wrote, “Even when someone approaches her amid her busy schedule, Samanta stops her work to listen. She goes to people to understand their lives and stand beside them.”

    The most significant part of Tasnim Jara’s remarks was her statement that Samanta Sharmin’s political journey still had a long way to go. She said that there should be a bigger place for people like Samanta in the country’s politics. Her comments can be seen as an expression of personal respect and political support for Samanta. At the same time, they have sparked further discussions about the political future of leaders who have left the NCP.

    On November 6, former adviser to the interim government Mahfuz Alam also responded to the issue in a Facebook post. His comments focused on the smear campaigns circulating on social media against Samanta.

    Mahfuz Alam said that spreading propaganda against those who played important roles in forming the National Citizen Committee from the liaison committee of the Anti-Discrimination Student Movement and later expanding it was condemnable.

    He further said that many of those who had helped build the party’s foundation had left because of the alliance. He said they deserved gratitude because their day-and-night efforts had helped the party establish an organizational structure. If gratitude could not be expressed, he added, people should at least remain silent in the interest of political coexistence and healthy political practices.

    It would not be accurate to say that Mahfuz Alam directly criticized the NCP leadership in his remarks. However, his call to recognize the contributions of the party’s founding organizers and stop spreading propaganda against those who had left carries political significance.

    The nature of Tasnim Jara’s and Mahfuz Alam’s statements was different. Tasnim Jara focused on Samanta’s personal qualities and political future. Mahfuz Alam emphasized the contributions of the founding leaders and the importance of showing them political courtesy.

    However, there is one common element in both statements. Both acknowledged the political contributions of Samanta Sharmin.

    This raises a major question for the NCP: How will the party leadership handle political disagreements with those who played important roles in building the organization?

    Disagreements are not unusual for a new political party. However, when important organizers leave following internal disputes and allegations of smear campaigns against them emerge, questions also arise about the party’s political culture.

    Samanta Sharmin’s resignation is therefore not merely the departure of an individual leader. It has once again raised questions about the NCP’s founding unity, political position, and internal democracy.

    The reactions of Mahfuz Alam and Tasnim Jara indicate that Samanta Sharmin’s resignation is no longer just an internal matter for the NCP. The party’s founding political circle, leadership conduct, and commitment to establishing a new political culture have also become part of the discussion.

    Meanwhile, the NCP faces new challenges following the national election. In the February 12, 2026, national election, the NCP won six seats. Securing parliamentary representation is certainly an achievement for the party. However, winning six seats alone does not make a party a strong and independent political force.

    Following the election, differences between the NCP and Jamaat over their relationship and local government elections have come to the forefront.

    Media reports have indicated that the two parties have developed tensions over seat-sharing arrangements in local government elections. According to these reports, the NCP wants to expand its organizational activities and place greater emphasis on its independent political programmes. Differences have also emerged over mayoral positions in Dhaka North, Dhaka South, Cumilla, and Mymensingh. However, NCP leaders have denied speculation that the party is leaving the alliance. They have described the reduction in joint programmes as a strategic decision.

    Several important issues have also emerged from political analysts’ assessments of the NCP’s future.

    Zobaida Nasreen, a professor at the University of Dhaka and political analyst, believes that maintaining a long-term relationship with Jamaat could undermine the NCP’s prospects of developing into an independent political party. In remarks to a media outlet, she said that public expectations of the new party were no longer as high as before. She also pointed to a lack of clarity regarding the party’s ideological position.

    Political analyst Altaf Parvez believes that young people need to organize themselves again if they are to preserve the political aspirations of the July mass uprising. In other words, the potential created by the unity of the movement could be lost if it cannot be transformed into a political organization.

    Abdul Latif Masum, a former professor of the Department of Government and Politics at Jahangirnagar University, told Al Jazeera that the NCP had limited prospects of emerging as a strong and independent third political force. Organizational weaknesses and internal divisions are major obstacles. However, he said the party still had potential if it could clarify its position and strengthen its organization.

    These assessments make one thing clear. The NCP’s crisis cannot be fully understood if it is viewed merely as a personal dispute. It is also linked to political ideology, organizational capacity, and the credibility of its leadership.

    To put it directly, the NCP has not formally split yet. Its leadership remains in place, it has parliamentary representation, and its political activities are continuing. However, signs of internal divisions are evident.

    Three factors are particularly important in assessing the risk of a split.

    First, there is a leadership crisis. A section of the founding leaders has left the party. As a result, the party risks losing leadership experience and political diversity.

    Second, there is ideological division. It is still unclear what kind of political party the NCP wants to become. Will it emerge as a centrist and reform-oriented political force? Or will it pursue long-term political arrangements with religion-based political forces? The party now needs to provide a clear answer to this question.

    Third, there are organizational weaknesses. A political party cannot survive by depending solely on a few well-known leaders. It needs a strong organizational structure at the district, upazila, union, and ward levels. Regular party councils, transparency in leadership selection, and proper consideration of members’ opinions are also essential. Weaknesses in these three areas could lead to further divisions in the future.

    Speaking at the launch ceremony of the NCP. Photo: Collected

    What lies ahead for the NCP?

    The NCP still has an opportunity to rebuild public support if it can clarify its ideology and political position. In particular, it could regain acceptance among young voters, reform-minded people, and those disappointed with conventional politics.

    However, if the party fails to resolve disagreements within its leadership, ideological differences, and organizational dissatisfaction, more leaders could leave. In such a situation, the party might survive in name but lose much of its political influence.

    The NCP must remember that the popularity of a movement and the management of a political party are not the same thing. During the 2024 movement, people with different views, beliefs, and political positions united around a common demand. However, managing a political party requires more than the popularity of a movement. It requires a clear ideology, credible leadership, democratic decision-making, and a strong organizational structure.

    The NCP was established with the dream of becoming an alternative to conventional politics. People also expected the party to introduce a new political culture. However, while trying to fulfill those expectations, the party is struggling to manage disagreements within its own ranks.

    Samanta Sharmin’s resignation is the latest manifestation of this crisis. The earlier departures of prominent leaders, including Tasnim Jara and Tajnuva Jabeen, were also significant setbacks for the party.

    However, it would be premature to conclude that the NCP’s political future is over. Its six parliamentary seats have provided it with a political platform. The party can use this platform to redefine its identity.

    To do so, however, its leadership must first identify its mistakes, limitations, and areas of disagreement. It must view differing opinions as political assets rather than treating those who disagree as opponents.

    Ultimately, the biggest question facing the NCP is whether it was formed merely to survive in power politics or to establish something genuinely new in Bangladesh’s political landscape.

    The answer to this question will determine whether the NCP emerges as a strong and independent political party or loses much of its potential shortly after its establishment.